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Please note that the following articles have been automatically translated by Notion (probably by its AI) and may contain errors. The images may contain text in Spanish. If you have any questions about what is written in any of them, you can ask your trusted AI.
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Many will call me IABRO after that statement, but the truth is that there are arguments to support it and be very optimistic, stay and read
We are entering a growth curve from which there is no possible return, a black hole of successive and explosive advances that will attract and submerge today's obsolete and incongruous societies to places never seen or dreamed of before, there is no escape, wherever you go this is a global reality. will you let it explode in your face or will you read to the end of the article looking for the answers that will at least allow you to stay afloat? your decision is yours.
<aside> 👉 Disclaimer: Unlike other articles or guides I have written before, many parts of this article are simplistic, idealistic or unscientific. My idea in doing so is not to be 100% accurate, but to open the minds of many people to ask the right questions and to reflect on the unimaginable consequences that artificial intelligence could have in life, giving a basic statistical basis to understand the increasingly incredible graphs and events that happen.
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Small appetizer, which can make a topic like this exciting for you (It lasts 1 hour but it is well worth it).
"If you spend any time reading about what is happening today in science and technology, you begin to see many signs that quietly hint that life as we currently know it cannot withstand the leap that is coming."
Tim Urban, journalist
The most mind-blowing part of AI is not the visible or easily understandable part. It's not that you talk to a text predictor, or that a model makes spectacular images with text, it's the incredible numbers behind it, the evolutionary scale it is having and the possible unpredictable consequences of it, in this article we will assess whether there is really a technological explosion, understanding the massiveness and growth by understanding the numbers and some of the relationships between them.
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Never before in the history of computing have we had a technology with such rapid growth and such a pronounced and marked multiplication of value (I will explain later why I believe it could become more valuable than even the internet).
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But enough of blunt assertions of things of which you are probably already superficially aware, let's get into the matter, let's look at a couple of concepts to understand why we do not understand the nature of AI.
Our mind is designed to think and predict in a linear way, this means that it takes into account only a couple of factors with respect to a particular circumstance and with respect to these factors draws a simple cause-effect relationship, or in a more technical way:
Linearity is that characteristic that makes things follow a straight and predictable pattern. When something is linear, its behavior increases or decreases in a constant and equal way:
Example linear thinking and predictions:
- Our mind then starts from several predictions to make the most of the circumstance of rain that will be planted in our path, through our conscious will then pass various thoughts such as:
- "Wait, if it rains tomorrow I'd better bring an umbrella " ✅
- "I should also take advantage of today to dry the wet clothes now that it's sunny " ✅
- "And go out this afternoon, since it will be nice weather today " ✅
What is exponential thinking?
And this is where things start to get a little crazy and the numbers start to dance:
When something is exponential, it grows or shrinks at an ever-increasing rate, doubling or in some cases tripling, quadrupling, or adding in irrational and unpredictable ways.
A classic example of exponential growth/prediction is the reproduction of bacteria.
- Fact: A bacterium doubles every hour
- Prediction one: in one hour you will have 2
- Prediction two: in two hours you will have 4
- Prediction three: in three hours you will have 8
and so on.
<aside> 💡 And speaking of bacteria, the concept of exponentiality and how we humans unconsciously refuse to acknowledge its existence was especially noticeable at the beginning of the pandemic, when a large majority of journalists from rich countries underestimated the first cases of the COVID virus that emerged outside of China, only scientists who knew and had internalized this term were able to guess where the shots were going, and other external factors made this case explode even more (mutations of the virus that allowed further spread, lack of measures ...).)
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In addition to the fact that we are generally not able to glimpse more from a certain amount of data, our mind works in a more sequential way, and that is why it is difficult for us to find solutions to complex problems with multiple variables such as the cure for cancer.
